So, I bumped into this thing called the ‘Shelton Jubb Prediction’ a while back. Wasn’t really looking for it, just popped up somewhere, maybe an old discussion board or something. Sounded kinda interesting, like a simple way to guess what’s coming next, maybe for workload or project timelines. Thought I’d give it a whirl, you know, see if there was anything to it.
First thing, I tried to find some solid info. Wasn’t easy. Seemed like one of those things people mention but nobody really explains properly. Found a few scattered notes, supposedly the ‘method’. It looked like you had to track a few simple things daily, nothing complicated, just jotting down numbers in a specific way.
Getting Down to It
Alright, so I decided to track my incoming tasks for a couple of weeks using this supposed Shelton Jubb approach. Got myself a basic spreadsheet. The steps were kinda like this:
- Note down the number of new requests each morning.
- Add a weird ‘Jubb factor’ – seemed like just multiplying by a random-ish number I found in one of those notes.
- Do some simple averaging thing over the last few days.
- That final number was supposed to be the ‘prediction’ for the next day’s load.
Honestly, it felt a bit like guesswork dressed up as a system. The instructions I found were vague, and that ‘Jubb factor’ felt pulled out of thin air. Was I even doing it right? Who knows.
What Happened Next
I stuck with it for about a month. Kept my little spreadsheet updated every day. It was a bit of a chore, remembering to plug in the numbers and do the little calculation. Some days, the prediction was surprisingly close. I’d think, “Huh, maybe there’s something here.”
But, more often than not, it was off. Sometimes way off. Like, it predicted a quiet day and then bam, everything hit the fan. Or it predicted chaos and the day was dead simple. There wasn’t much rhyme or reason to when it worked and when it didn’t.
After that month, I looked back at the results. Compared the predictions to what actually happened. The accuracy was… well, not great. Felt like I could have guessed better just based on my gut feeling and looking at the calendar.
My Takeaway
So, the Shelton Jubb Prediction thing? For me, it was a bit of a dead end. Took time I could have used actually doing the work, and the payoff just wasn’t there. Maybe the info I found was wrong, or maybe it only works for specific situations, I don’t know.
Bottom line: It felt like trying to follow a recipe with half the instructions missing. Too much hassle for something that didn’t really deliver. I dropped it. Went back to just using my own experience to plan my days. Simpler, and honestly, about as accurate.
